Statistics Profile

Carson Weddle

2002

Tampa Bay Fencers Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1717	1486 - 1947	1231	1851
Épée	Direct elimination	2369	1989 - 2748	2361	2769
Foil	Pool	1987	1716 - 2257	1450	2044
Foil	Direct elimination	1753	1352 - 2153	1748	2238
Saber	Pool	1089	218 - 1959	1089	1089
Saber	Direct elimination	2079	640 - 3517	2079	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.