Statistics Profile

Aleena Bragar

2007

Maximum Fencing Club V Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1165	521 - 1808	1165	1165
Épée	Direct elimination	1701	503 - 2898	1701	1701
Foil	Pool	753	228 - 1277	753	1027
Foil	Direct elimination	1362	485 - 2238	1362	1742

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.