Statistics Profile

Nicholas Van Nimwegen

2001

Invictus Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2229	2003 - 2454	1807	2270
Épée	Direct elimination	2582	2330 - 2833	2152	2582
Saber	Pool	2112	1914 - 2309	1336	2323
Saber	Direct elimination	2240	1996 - 2483	2122	2921

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.