Statistics Profile

Ethan Shi

2016

Ace Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	609	412 - 805	403	852
Épée	Direct elimination	1243	908 - 1577	1040	1427
Foil	Pool	60	0 - 668	60	60
Foil	Direct elimination	1548	370 - 2725	1548	1548

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.