Statistics Profile

John Thu

2001

Greensboro Fencing Academy Delta H Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1626	1240 - 2011	1626	2116
Épée	Direct elimination	1305	577 - 2032	1119	2079
Foil	Pool	1352	1133 - 1570	1013	1454
Foil	Direct elimination	1563	1155 - 1970	1273	2079
Saber	Pool	1633	1184 - 2081	1594	1633
Saber	Direct elimination	2095	1237 - 2952	2095	2336

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.