Statistics Profile

Tomas Walters

2009

Tiger Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1940	1671 - 2208	1614	1940
Épée	Direct elimination	2217	1784 - 2649	1169	2377
Foil	Pool	571	0 - 1153	571	727
Foil	Direct elimination	1700	778 - 2621	1700	1899

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.