Statistics Profile

Jeffrey Nsubuga

2003

University of Maryland Baltimore County Homewood Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1719	998 - 2439	1719	1719
Épée	Direct elimination	1745	541 - 2948	1745	1745
Foil	Pool	1434	1260 - 1607	1118	1881
Foil	Direct elimination	1492	1223 - 1760	1225	1821

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.