Statistics Profile

Kayla Hughes

2003

Edge of America Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1229	919 - 1538	1082	1528
Foil	Direct elimination	2041	1426 - 2655	1536	2921
Saber	Pool	1828	1311 - 2344	762	1850
Saber	Direct elimination	1752	982 - 2521	1412	1905

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.