Statistics Profile

Alexis Whitley

2001

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1386	1130 - 1641	1376	2343
Épée	Direct elimination	1957	1264 - 2649	1892	2745
Saber	Pool	1454	1128 - 1779	1454	2147
Saber	Direct elimination	1152	211 - 2092	1152	1931

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.