Statistics Profile

Alexander Fox

1997

University Of Colorado Boulder Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1125	824 - 1425	1091	1360
Épée	Direct elimination	1128	429 - 1826	1128	1825
Foil	Pool	818	213 - 1422	818	911
Foil	Direct elimination	1821	548 - 3093	1821	1821
Saber	Pool	1634	937 - 2330	1285	1634
Saber	Direct elimination	2032	1123 - 2940	1637	2032

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.