Statistics Profile

Philip Baranowski

1984

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2192	1944 - 2439	2158	2654
Épée	Direct elimination	2398	2005 - 2790	2001	3159
Foil	Pool	1754	1412 - 2095	1610	2253
Foil	Direct elimination	2187	1539 - 2834	2187	2844

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.