Statistics Profile

Alexander Bakke

2001

Michigan State University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1757	1533 - 1980	1673	2207
Épée	Direct elimination	1920	1514 - 2325	1822	2071
Foil	Pool	1278	1050 - 1505	1278	1776
Foil	Direct elimination	1207	806 - 1607	1207	2079
Saber	Direct elimination	2050	670 - 3429	2050	2050

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.