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Statistics Profile

Ryder Johnson

Verified
2006
Alliance Fencing Academy Orion Fencing

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2351 2185 - 2516 1848 2437
Épée Direct elimination 2542 2331 - 2752 1963 2664
Foil Pool 1493 1289 - 1696 1055 1493
Foil Direct elimination 1944 1617 - 2270 1346 1947
Saber Pool 1761 1464 - 2057 1040 1761
Saber Direct elimination 2044 1570 - 2517 1369 2086

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.