Statistics Profile

Liam Bell

2001

University Of Tennessee Knoxville Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1540	688 - 2391	1540	1540
Épée	Direct elimination	2207	1088 - 3325	2207	2207
Saber	Pool	2061	1084 - 3037	2061	2061
Saber	Direct elimination	1635	405 - 2864	1635	1635

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.