Statistics Profile

Lyllian Franz

2006

Still Point Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1709	1121 - 2296	1511	1709
Épée	Direct elimination	2216	1257 - 3174	2216	2749
Foil	Pool	1118	839 - 1396	633	1134
Foil	Direct elimination	1583	1151 - 2014	1566	2119

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.