Statistics Profile

Lilou Maine de Biran

2009

Candlewood Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1341	805 - 1876	1293	1341
Épée	Direct elimination	1786	906 - 2665	1786	2172
Foil	Pool	523	19 - 1026	523	567
Foil	Direct elimination	875	0 - 1897	875	1216

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.