Statistics Profile

Siqi Du

2008

Rochester Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	423	0 - 901	423	767
Épée	Direct elimination	1017	189 - 1844	1017	1553
Foil	Pool	657	185 - 1128	657	961
Foil	Direct elimination	1641	811 - 2470	1641	2000

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.