Statistics Profile

David Zalewski

2001

Virginia Tech Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2422	2187 - 2656	2146	2515
Épée	Direct elimination	2338	1948 - 2727	1578	2420
Foil	Pool	1146	395 - 1896	1146	1146
Foil	Direct elimination	1968	689 - 3246	1968	1968

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.