Statistics Profile

Xavier Herrera

2009

Fencing Center Of Chicago

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1723	1545 - 1900	1282	1738
Épée	Direct elimination	1753	1467 - 2038	1477	1857
Foil	Pool	1679	1511 - 1846	883	1679
Foil	Direct elimination	1706	1517 - 1894	1408	1960

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.