Statistics Profile

Xavier Herrera

2009

Fencing Center Of Chicago

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1738	1560 - 1915	1283	1738
Épée	Direct elimination	1753	1456 - 2049	1477	1857
Foil	Pool	1581	1412 - 1749	883	1581
Foil	Direct elimination	1678	1485 - 1870	1408	1960

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.