Statistics Profile

Clayton Edwards

2001

Florida State University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	827	299 - 1354	569	827
Épée	Direct elimination	1952	1239 - 2664	1844	2057
Foil	Pool	1340	608 - 2071	1340	1340
Saber	Pool	1459	1225 - 1692	1367	1883
Saber	Direct elimination	1757	1274 - 2239	1189	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.