Statistics Profile

Ezekiel Jones

2002

Emory University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	679	148 - 1209	679	1184
Foil	Direct elimination	1478	296 - 2659	1478	1478
Saber	Pool	1679	1411 - 1946	1446	1876
Saber	Direct elimination	2087	1648 - 2525	1568	2087

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.