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Statistics Profile

Patrick Gadow

Verified
2009
Cape Fear Fencing Association

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1714 1357 - 2070 1609 1940
Épée Direct elimination 1958 1370 - 2545 1911 2326
Foil Pool 1432 1262 - 1601 952 1432
Foil Direct elimination 1699 1464 - 1933 868 1776

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.