Statistics Profile

David Carver (DeWayne)

1969

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1303	1040 - 1565	1303	2069
Épée	Direct elimination	1129	526 - 1731	1129	2216
Foil	Pool	1497	939 - 2054	1296	1497
Foil	Direct elimination	1739	695 - 2782	1739	2810

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.