Statistics Profile

Zhihao Song

1997

University of Maryland Terrapin Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2128	1719 - 2536	2128	2208
Épée	Direct elimination	2334	1698 - 2969	2066	2334
Saber	Pool	1301	874 - 1727	1139	1301
Saber	Direct elimination	1855	986 - 2723	1855	2299

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.