Statistics Profile

David Eldridge

1973

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1747	1021 - 2472	1747	1747
Épée	Direct elimination	2088	766 - 3409	2088	2088
Foil	Pool	830	279 - 1380	830	954
Foil	Direct elimination	1669	712 - 2625	1669	1669
Saber	Pool	814	374 - 1253	814	1206
Saber	Direct elimination	1238	384 - 2091	1238	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.