Statistics Profile

Francis Martire

2013

Manhattan Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	809	592 - 1025	510	1357
Foil	Direct elimination	1206	787 - 1624	1050	2043
Saber	Pool	1077	903 - 1250	797	1524
Saber	Direct elimination	1599	1360 - 1837	1080	2092

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.