Statistics Profile

Richard Kohn

1952

Lincoln Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1385	580 - 2189	1385	1385
Foil	Direct elimination	1202	92 - 2311	1202	1202
Saber	Pool	1046	647 - 1444	1046	1611
Saber	Direct elimination	1619	828 - 2409	1246	1619

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.