Statistics Profile

Charlie Penner

2002

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1515	813 - 2216	1515	1880
Épée	Direct elimination	1617	663 - 2570	1617	1938
Foil	Pool	1288	365 - 2210	1288	1288
Foil	Direct elimination	2135	740 - 3529	2135	2135
Saber	Pool	1248	1030 - 1465	1065	1562
Saber	Direct elimination	1469	1091 - 1846	1233	1947

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.