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Statistics Profile

Charlie Penner

2002
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1515 813 - 2216 1515 1880
Épée Direct elimination 1617 663 - 2570 1617 1938
Foil Pool 1288 365 - 2210 1288 1288
Foil Direct elimination 2135 740 - 3529 2135 2135
Saber Pool 1248 1030 - 1465 1065 1562
Saber Direct elimination 1469 1091 - 1846 1233 1947

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.