Statistics Profile

Ethan Apanasewicz

2007

Western Reserve Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1427	1237 - 1616	1399	1735
Épée	Direct elimination	1747	1428 - 2065	1503	1803
Foil	Pool	1339	899 - 1778	1272	1540
Foil	Direct elimination	2477	1738 - 3215	1813	2798

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.