Statistics Profile

James Grady

2003

Moe Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1268	665 - 1870	1122	1268
Épée	Direct elimination	1545	635 - 2454	1545	1832
Foil	Pool	1843	1592 - 2093	1770	2111
Foil	Direct elimination	1638	1269 - 2006	1487	2145

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.