Statistics Profile

Karmen Zimmerman

2007
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1988 1807 - 2168 1419 1993
Épée Direct elimination 2065 1784 - 2345 1591 2184
Foil Pool 1197 721 - 1672 1076 1326
Foil Direct elimination 1336 354 - 2317 1336 1635
Saber Pool 1787 922 - 2651 1787 1787
Saber Direct elimination 1828 700 - 2955 1828 1828

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.