Statistics Profile

Victoria Chalk

1984

Swordplay LA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1668	1173 - 2162	1668	1831
Épée	Direct elimination	1336	328 - 2343	1336	1620
Foil	Pool	1353	897 - 1808	1353	2740
Foil	Direct elimination	1577	682 - 2471	1492	1729

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.