Statistics Profile

Ahmed Mohamed

2003

Rochester Youth Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1994	1371 - 2616	1994	2046
Épée	Direct elimination	2921	1482 - 4359	2921	2921
Foil	Pool	872	513 - 1230	872	1192
Foil	Direct elimination	1591	716 - 2465	1533	1591

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.