Statistics Profile

Owen Miller

2005

Purdue Fencing Club-Purdue Univ.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1893	1570 - 2215	1203	1938
Épée	Direct elimination	2360	1851 - 2868	2173	2620
Foil	Pool	1496	579 - 2412	1496	1496
Foil	Direct elimination	2088	928 - 3247	2088	2088
Saber	Pool	1582	995 - 2168	1582	1582
Saber	Direct elimination	1214	171 - 2256	1214	1214

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.