Statistics Profile

Yasemin Ersoz

2007

Michigan State University Fencing Club Pine-Richland Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1075	325 - 1824	1075	1075
Épée	Direct elimination	1810	723 - 2896	1810	1810
Foil	Pool	2080	1838 - 2321	1931	2426
Foil	Direct elimination	2310	1853 - 2766	1943	2310

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.