Statistics Profile

Tristan Minton

2013

Hills Fencing Institute

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	165	0 - 572	146	852
Épée	Direct elimination	1509	789 - 2228	1121	1692
Foil	Pool	1037	313 - 1760	1037	1037
Foil	Direct elimination	2255	929 - 3580	2255	2255

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.