Statistics Profile

Daniel Stepanian

2015

Apex Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	866	394 - 1337	737	1180
Épée	Direct elimination	1622	848 - 2395	1380	1755
Foil	Pool	2891	2390 - 3391	2891	2891
Foil	Direct elimination	2578	1866 - 3289	2578	2578

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.