Statistics Profile

James Davidson

2011

Wasatch Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1526	1350 - 1701	752	1526
Épée	Direct elimination	1691	1458 - 1923	1374	2707
Foil	Pool	1085	527 - 1642	1085	1085
Foil	Direct elimination	1651	720 - 2581	1651	1651
Saber	Pool	1109	607 - 1610	1109	2713
Saber	Direct elimination	1931	549 - 3312	1931	1931

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.