Statistics Profile

Aidan Grant

2011

Fencing Academy Of Westchester

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	569	313 - 824	569	934
Épée	Direct elimination	840	307 - 1372	840	1879
Foil	Pool	891	491 - 1290	891	1639
Foil	Direct elimination	1471	763 - 2178	1471	2622

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.