Statistics Profile

Frederick Zuckerman

2007

Marist Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1282	452 - 2111	1282	1282
Épée	Direct elimination	2236	1133 - 3338	2236	2236
Saber	Pool	2894	1870 - 3917	2894	3037
Saber	Direct elimination	2534	1703 - 3364	2534	2682

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.