Statistics Profile

Eli Johnson

2006

Louisville Fencing Center, Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1583	861 - 2304	1447	1583
Épée	Direct elimination	2165	1350 - 2979	2126	2165
Saber	Pool	1584	1389 - 1778	813	1584
Saber	Direct elimination	2013	1720 - 2305	1452	2013

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.