Statistics Profile

Emilio Juarez

2011

Houston Sword Sports

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1856	1442 - 2269	1816	2337
Épée	Direct elimination	2331	1636 - 3025	2188	2816
Foil	Pool	1263	647 - 1878	1263	1680
Foil	Direct elimination	2260	1383 - 3136	2260	2449

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.