Statistics Profile

Trent Bailey

2011

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3422	2337 - 4506	3422	3422
Épée	Direct elimination	3428	2285 - 4570	3428	3428
Foil	Pool	777	0 - 1709	777	777
Foil	Direct elimination	1275	144 - 2405	1275	1275

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.