Statistics Profile

Roman Moldoveanu

2009

Louisville Fencing Center, Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1648	1108 - 2187	1463	1648
Épée	Direct elimination	2318	1561 - 3074	1608	2318
Foil	Pool	1384	1203 - 1564	1138	1408
Foil	Direct elimination	1582	1337 - 1826	1254	1692
Saber	Pool	1651	535 - 2766	1651	1651
Saber	Direct elimination	1624	440 - 2807	1624	1624

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.