Statistics Profile

Mark Czachorowski

2009

Revolution Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1426	1232 - 1619	1076	3244
Épée	Direct elimination	1753	1435 - 2070	1282	1753
Foil	Pool	976	149 - 1802	976	1832
Foil	Direct elimination	1644	488 - 2799	1644	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.