Statistics Profile

Justin Tang

1993

George Mason University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1832	1642 - 2021	1403	1910
Épée	Direct elimination	1811	1522 - 2099	1453	2233
Foil	Pool	1457	1122 - 1791	1110	1503
Foil	Direct elimination	1241	555 - 1926	1108	1752
Saber	Pool	1408	757 - 2058	1408	1408
Saber	Direct elimination	1499	303 - 2694	1499	1499

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.