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Statistics Profile

Justin Tang

1993
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1832 1642 - 2021 1403 1910
Épée Direct elimination 1811 1522 - 2099 1453 2233
Foil Pool 1457 1122 - 1791 1110 1503
Foil Direct elimination 1241 555 - 1926 1108 1752
Saber Pool 1408 757 - 2058 1408 1408
Saber Direct elimination 1499 303 - 2694 1499 1499

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.