Statistics Profile

Peter de Bruin

2003

Shippensburg University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1163	608 - 1717	1163	1312
Épée	Direct elimination	1745	865 - 2624	1745	2087
Foil	Pool	1073	112 - 2033	1073	1073
Foil	Direct elimination	2355	1150 - 3559	2355	2355
Saber	Pool	1481	570 - 2391	1481	1481
Saber	Direct elimination	1445	268 - 2621	1445	1445

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.