Statistics Profile

Noah Shafritz

2005

Olympic Fencers Club Kennesaw State University

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2023	1852 - 2193	1325	2081
Épée	Direct elimination	2169	1921 - 2416	2009	2363
Foil	Pool	1438	635 - 2240	1438	1438
Foil	Direct elimination	1992	613 - 3370	1992	1992

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.