Statistics Profile

Nicholas Ferraro

1999

Foothills Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1701	1515 - 1886	925	1701
Épée	Direct elimination	1556	1263 - 1848	1205	1663
Foil	Pool	767	356 - 1177	650	1111
Foil	Direct elimination	1422	695 - 2148	1196	2104
Saber	Pool	1639	1226 - 2051	1472	1639
Saber	Direct elimination	2040	1365 - 2714	1661	2040

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.