Statistics Profile

Jacob Lockwood

2007

Youth Enrichment League Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2111	1749 - 2472	1989	2200
Épée	Direct elimination	1992	1339 - 2644	1695	2081
Foil	Pool	1906	1729 - 2082	1057	1906
Foil	Direct elimination	1954	1759 - 2148	1249	1993

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.